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UBS On-Air: House View

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UBS On-Air: House View

Chief Investment Office

House View Daily | Consider broad commodity exposure in portfolios

July 03, 2026 5:13am 9 min

Despite the recent decline in commodity prices, we believe fundamentals should provide support in the coming months. We also believe broad commodity exposure offers diversification, inflation hedging, and downside protec...

House View Daily | Warsh’s focus on price stability does not point to rate hikes

July 02, 2026 7:54am 9 min

Markets are looking to June’s payrolls today for clues on the Fed’s interest rate path after Chair Kevin Warsh offered little indication. We maintain the view that current market conviction around Fed rate hikes is too a...

House View Daily | Stock outlook remains positive after a strong 2Q

July 01, 2026 4:47am 8 min

Global equities delivered a strong performance in the second quarter, and we think the momentum can continue in the coming months. The next phase of the rally should, in our view, see a broadening of market leadership.

House View Daily | Why the rotation into health care may have room to run

June 30, 2026 4:22am 8 min

Investors have shifted some capital back into health care amid tech sector volatility, seeking both stability and growth. Recent policy changes around GLP-1s and breakthrough therapies are fueling new optimism for the se...

House View Daily | Monitoring AI risks amid volatility

June 29, 2026 6:34am 8 min

We continue to like the semiconductor complex of the AI story, but recent market volatility has pointed to certain risks worth monitoring. The key for investors remains diversification, both within and beyond AI.

House View Daily | Oil’s path is not a one-way Strait

June 26, 2026 6:06am 10 min

While oil may stay under pressure in the near term, we expect prices to recover over the coming months, as the normalization of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and the recovery of shut-in production may prove slower...

House View Daily | Why gold could stage a rebound

June 25, 2026 6:37am 6 min

Gold has fallen to its lowest level in nearly eight months, but we think this offers an opportunity for underallocated investors to build strategic exposure. We believe the investment case for gold remains positive, as w...

House View Daily | Equities can move higher despite tech sell-off

June 24, 2026 6:57am 10 min

Risk sentiment weakened amid pressure on semiconductor stocks, but we believe the recent correction should be seen in the context of the strong rally in recent months. While we remain confident in the AI growth story, we...

House View Daily | Why we think a Fed hike remains unlikely

June 23, 2026 5:31am

We view current market expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in the near term as too aggressive, as inflation should moderate in the coming months, growth may soften, and broader changes at the Fed could...

House View Daily | Record equity issuance shouldn't be a headwind for equity markets

June 22, 2026 4:20am

The window has swung back open for new IPOs and secondary offerings, with share issuance likely to reach a record high in dollar terms this year. But we do not think this will be challenging to absorb given the growth of...

House View Daily | Why we believe equities can still move higher

June 19, 2026 4:41am

The AI rally has been one of the defining features of markets in the first half of the year. While we think it can drive further gains, we also believe the rally will continue to broaden across the rest of the market. We...

House View Daily | Warsh era starts on a hawkish note

June 18, 2026 5:01am

The FOMC held the policy rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75%, but the combination of higher inflation projections, a hawkish distribution of rate forecasts, and the removal of forward guidance points to a restrictive-for-longer ...

House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch

June 17, 2026 5:11am

The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates steady today, but markets will be watching Kevin Warsh's debut press conference as chair and his outlook on inflation and rates. We maintain the view that the Fed should resu...

House View Daily | What tighter US frontier model rules could mean for the AI trade

June 16, 2026 6:28am

An unexpected US intervention shows how quickly AI policy can shift from theory to tangible risk. With this year’s equity rally directly linked to AI demand expectations, we examine how a tighter US regulatory approach c...

House View Daily | US-Iran deal raises market optimism

June 15, 2026 5:59am

The US and Iran have reached an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with official signing scheduled later this week. Volatility may persist in the near term as markets assess the implementation and durability of th...

House View Daily | Volatility in AI and tech do not derail the investment thesis

June 12, 2026 5:38am

Market swings may persist as geopolitics, rates, and funding questions collide, but the underlying buildout driving AI-linked equities remains intact, in our view. Investors should stay invested in the AI opportunity, wh...

House View Daily | Markets should overcome near-term headwinds

June 11, 2026 4:35am

US stocks fell to their lowest level in over a month as a tech-led sell-off deepened, the war in Iran showed little signs of ending, and accelerating inflation intensified Federal Reserve hike worries. But we think near-...

House View Daily | Renewed tech selling leads markets lower

June 10, 2026 4:48am

US stocks fell on Tuesday after an earlier rise on optimism about an imminent US-Iran deal. While the path toward a resolution is likely to be uneven, our base case is that diplomacy ultimately prevails, allowing investo...

House View Daily | Health care offers more than a defensive role in portfolios

June 09, 2026 5:47am

Health care has traditionally been viewed as a defensive sector, but investors should not ignore the innovative growth opportunities it offers. Supported by technological advances and a structural shift in demographics, ...

House View Daily | Equities fall on tech pressures

June 08, 2026 8:52am

US equities and bonds fell in tandem on Friday, as concerns over potential Fed rate hikes, equity issuance by Meta, Broadcom's disappointing AI revenue outlook, and a reversal in semiconductor stocks weighed on markets. ...

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